$微軟.US 微軟今年可以漲多少？假設業績預期業績指引不變的話：現在靜態市盈率 40，對應 50% 負債情況下 39% 的 roe，非常合理，沒怎麼高估；今年預期利潤的市盈率 33，對應 39% 左右的 roe，大約還有 18% 左右的合理上升空間。也就是說今年微軟價格如果漲破了 470，就要考慮是業績要提升了，還是有點高估了；如果業績沒提升，還在 470 上面站住了，說明要考慮是不是泡沫要來了。其實很多帳簡單自己算算，都能拿到一個大致方向判斷價格貴還是便宜。有興趣我可以拋磚引玉用最粗略的方法跟大家一起算著玩玩
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